Estimation of gravity of a condition of patients with an abdominal sepsis on the basis of the developed algorithm


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Abstract

The retrospective analysis of 336 case histories of patients with the acute widespread peritonitis complicated by a sepsis is carried out, at an estimation of which gravity of a condition specially developed algorithm based on displaying of value of separately taken continuous quantity indicators on similar indicators of patients, taken of a database also has been used. The carried out analysis has taped high reliability of differences of a mark estimation of the died and survived patients, presence of strong correlation communications with a disease outcome. The probability of a correct estimation of the forecast of disease on the basis of 16 and more prognostic criteria fluctuated from 77,5 to 87,7%, an incorrect estimation - from 1,7 to 4,9 %.

About the authors

Воронежская государственная медицинская академия им. Н.Н.Бурденко

Author for correspondence.
Email: sugery@mail.ru
доктор меди- цинских наук, заместитель директора по науке Института хирургической инфекции Воронеж- ской государственной медицинской академии им. Н.Н.Бурденко

Воронежская государственная медицинская академия им. Н.Н.Бурденко

Email: surgery-v@yandex.ru
доктор меди- цинских наук, профессор, заведующий кафедрой общей хирургии, директор Института хирурги- ческой инфекции Воронежской государственной медицинской академии им. Н.Н.Бурденко

Воронежский институт экономики и социального управления

Email: viesm@vmail.ru
доцент кафедры ма- тематики и естественнонаучных дисциплин Во- ронежского института экономики и социального управления,

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